Author: Brian Sprenger

2022 Enplanement Projection
March 3, 2022

Quick Notes
BZN projected to enplane a record 1,102,570 passengers in 2022, up 13.3% over 2021. Total passengers (enplaned + deplaned) are expected to surpass 2.2 million.
New service started in 2020/21 that will continue into 2022 include, Austin, Boston, Dallas (Love), New York –JFK, Nashville, San Diego and Washington, D.C. (Dulles).
Charlotte is expected to return for winter 2022/23 but Fort Lauderdale is currently expected to end after the winter 2021/22 season.
BZN has non-stop service to 22 destinations throughout the United States of which 9 operate seasonally.

Based on current projections, we anticipate that BZN will enplane approximately 1,102,570 passengers in 2022 which would be another record. The projected 13.3% growth represents an increase of 128,71 enplanements over the previous annual record set in 2021.
Calendar year 2021 enplanements surpassed the previous record set in 2019 by 187,943 passengers (the highest net passenger gain in our history) The increase was due to several factors including a strong desire for passengers to travel to more remote areas of the country due to COVID-19, population growth in Southwest Montana, the addition of Southwest Airlines to the market and increased seats and markets by nearly every other airline serving BZN. Many of these new markets were experimental in nature due to the airlines having more aircraft available during the year than viable markets across the nation due to COVID-19. We expect several of the new 2021 experimental markets will not return in 2021 but may return in future years.
Factors that will positively impact BZN in 2022 include strong double digit growth during the first five months of the year as Southwest completes their first full 12-months in the market, continued interest in Montana and population growth. We expect the remainder of the year to be relatively flat compared to record numbers set in 2021 but remain at a much higher threshold when compared to pre-COVID 2019. We hope these projections by airport management will give some guidance for calendar year 2022 expectations, however, all projections are based on the information available as of March 3, 2022 and could change throughout the year.

BZN historical and projected passenger enplanements 2017—2022

	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year	Increase
2017	44,357	43,394	51,469	33,417	41,726	57,114	73,650	73,439	56,697	44,571	34,096	46,431	600,361	8.4%
2018	50,376	48,223	59,660	38,893	39,761	62,736	81,875	81,036	61,722	48,628	41,730	56,283	670,923	11.8%
2019	60,548	60,446	74,922	46,114	53,460	77,552	95,303	89,169	68,326	53,743	41,412	64,711	785,706	17.1%
2020	69,158	71,075	47,266	1,417	5,753	17,229	42,118	49,940	43,995	36,654	26,101	35,603	446,309	(43.2%)
2021	44,605	49,351	68,033	50,622	63,263	108,679	138,920	132,109	98,287	81,386	59,054	79,390	973,699	118.2%
2022 (Low)	83,551	79,685	95,304	67,301	68,851	109,303	132,758	127,805	96,031	76,403	67,277	77,921	1,082,190	11.2%
2022 (Projection)	83,551	81,312	97,249	68,674	70,257	111,534	135,467	130,413	97,991	77,962	68,650	79,511	1,102,570	13.3%
2022 (High)	83,551	82,938	99,194	70,048	71,662	113,765	138,176	133,021	99,951	79,521	70,023	81,101	1,122,951	15.4%

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